Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

Company makes 3rd cut to renewables organization outlook this year

Company makes 3rd cut to renewables company outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market strikes biofuel prices


(Adds expert, background, detail in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)


By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel organization for the 3rd time this year due to falling rates and also reduced its expected sales volumes, sending the business's share price down 10%.


Neste said a drop in the rate of regular diesel had actually impacted what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input expenses for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce sustainable diesel has developed a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering earnings margins for refiners and threatening to hinder the nascent market.


Neste in a statement slashed the anticipated typical similar sales margin of its renewables unit to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, below $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well listed below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The business now also anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had anticipated given that the start of the year, it added.


A part of the volume cut came from the production of sustainable air travel fuel, of which it is now expected to sell in between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, below in between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen previously, Neste stated.


"Renewable items' list prices have actually been negatively affected by a considerable reduction in (the) diesel cost throughout the third quarter," Neste said in a statement.


"At the same time, waste and residue feedstock rates have actually not reduced and renewable product market rate premiums have remained weak," the company added.


Industry executives and experts have actually stated quickly expanding Chinese biodiesel producers are seeking new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have revealed they are stopping briefly expansion plans in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's guidance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the negative effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel cost was to be expected, Inderes expert Petri Gostowski stated.


Neste's share rate had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but stayed down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)


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